Hapoel Bnei Jat United vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

04 Sep 2026 · 13:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Hapoel Bnei Jat United

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 49.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% 3.73 DRAW 24.2% 3.80 AWAY 51.1% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Bnei Jat United

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Bnei Jat United Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Bnei Jat United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Bnei Jat United Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.5

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Bnei Jat United Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hapoel Bnei Jat United ↑ +0.33 (+9.7%)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.