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UEFA Youth League · EU

FC Porto U19 vs Man City U19

08 Sep 2026 · 13:00
SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp
FC Porto U19
Man City U19
HOME 39.6% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 38.3%
HOME 41.5% 2.22 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 35.4% 2.60

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Man City U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.3% win probability, compared with 35.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Man City U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Porto U19 Man City U19
Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 17.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Man City U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Porto U19 Man City U19
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Porto U19 Man City U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Man City U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Porto U19 = (0.0%)
Man City U19 ↓ -0.10 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.