Beitar Tel Aviv Holon vs Ironi Beit Dagan

04 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.1 pp

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

Ironi Beit Dagan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.0% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.07 DRAW 26.0% 3.50 AWAY 30.1% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Beitar Tel Aviv Holon clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.0% win probability, compared with 43.9% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Beitar Tel Aviv Holon

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Ironi Beit Dagan

Shots 18.5 · On target 9.0 Shots 0.0 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours Beitar Tel Aviv Holon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Ironi Beit Dagan

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Ironi Beit Dagan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon Ironi Beit Dagan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Beitar Tel Aviv Holon ↑ +0.07 (+3.5%)

Ironi Beit Dagan ↑ +0.02 (+0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.