Tampere Utd vs JJK

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Tampere Utd

JJK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.4% DRAW 13.0% AWAY 9.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.9% 1.26 DRAW 14.3% 6.71 AWAY 9.8% 9.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tampere Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tampere Utd JJK

Shots 16.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tampere Utd JJK

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tampere Utd JJK

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tampere Utd ↓ -0.50 (-28.4%)

JJK ↑ +6.30 (+182.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.