Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

Alajuelense

Deportivo Saprissa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% 2.86 DRAW 30.4% 3.20 AWAY 35.6% 2.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Saprissa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alajuelense Deportivo Saprissa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Alajuelense ↑ +0.39 (+15.8%)

Deportivo Saprissa ↓ -0.53 (-16.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.