AD San Carlos vs Sporting San Jose

07 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

AD San Carlos

Sporting San Jose

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 2.99 DRAW 29.2% 3.26 AWAY 38.9% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting San Jose

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AD San Carlos Sporting San Jose

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Sporting San Jose, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AD San Carlos Sporting San Jose

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

AD San Carlos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AD San Carlos Sporting San Jose

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AD San Carlos ↑ +0.10 (+3.4%)

Sporting San Jose ↑ +0.19 (+8.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.