Penarol vs Albion FC

14 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Penarol

Albion FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.1% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 13.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% 1.48 DRAW 22.0% 4.37 AWAY 13.1% 7.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Penarol

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Penarol Albion FC

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Penarol, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Penarol Albion FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Albion FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Penarol Albion FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Penarol ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

Albion FC ↑ +0.06 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.