Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg

06 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Zrinjski Mostar

Siroki Brijeg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.2% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 6.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.3% 1.33 DRAW 18.3% 5.41 AWAY 7.3% 13.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zrinjski Mostar relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.2% win probability, compared with 74.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zrinjski Mostar has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zrinjski Mostar Siroki Brijeg

Shots 13.5 · On target 7.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Zrinjski Mostar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zrinjski Mostar Siroki Brijeg

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Zrinjski Mostar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zrinjski Mostar Siroki Brijeg

The combined recent performance profile favours Zrinjski Mostar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zrinjski Mostar ↓ -0.06 (-4.1%)

Siroki Brijeg ↑ +5.71 (+73.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.