MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Segev Shalom

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

MS Shikun Hamizrah

Hapoel Segev Shalom

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.53 DRAW 22.4% 4.10 AWAY 17.6% 5.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MS Shikun Hamizrah clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.7% win probability, compared with 60.0% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MS Shikun Hamizrah

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MS Shikun Hamizrah Hapoel Segev Shalom

Shots 4.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MS Shikun Hamizrah Hapoel Segev Shalom

Shots allowed 0.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3

MS Shikun Hamizrah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MS Shikun Hamizrah Hapoel Segev Shalom

The combined recent performance profile favours MS Shikun Hamizrah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MS Shikun Hamizrah ↓ -0.13 (-8.0%)

Hapoel Segev Shalom ↑ +1.48 (+39.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.