Leon vs Club America

07 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Leon

Club America

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 45.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% 3.20 DRAW 25.3% 3.81 AWAY 44.5% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club America

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leon Club America

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Club America, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leon Club America

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leon Club America

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Leon ↓ -0.56 (-15.5%)

Club America ↑ +0.18 (+8.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.