Colon Reserves vs Union Santa Fe Reserves

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Colon Reserves

Union Santa Fe Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 31.0% AWAY 41.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% 3.30 DRAW 30.7% 3.10 AWAY 40.4% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Union Santa Fe Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colon Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colon Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Union Santa Fe Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colon Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Santa Fe Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Colon Reserves ↑ +0.50 (+17.9%)

Union Santa Fe Reserves ↑ +0.08 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.