Tzeirey Tira vs Sderot

03 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.4 pp

Tzeirey Tira

Sderot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.27 DRAW 27.8% 3.30 AWAY 31.8% 2.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sderot clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.2% win probability, compared with 31.8% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sderot

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tzeirey Tira Sderot

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Sderot, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tzeirey Tira Sderot

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tzeirey Tira Sderot

The combined recent performance profile favours Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tzeirey Tira ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Sderot ↑ +0.14 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.