Kyoto Sanga FC vs Fujieda MYFC

23 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Kyoto Sanga FC

Fujieda MYFC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.0% 1.71 DRAW 23.2% 4.13 AWAY 20.8% 4.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Fujieda MYFC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kyoto Sanga FC Fujieda MYFC

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Fujieda MYFC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kyoto Sanga FC Fujieda MYFC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kyoto Sanga FC Fujieda MYFC

The combined recent performance profile favours Fujieda MYFC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kyoto Sanga FC ↑ +0.14 (+8.9%)

Fujieda MYFC ↑ +0.09 (+2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.