Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu

23 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Vissel Kobe

Sagan Tosu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% 1.48 DRAW 22.1% 4.21 AWAY 15.1% 6.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vissel Kobe

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Vissel Kobe ↑ +0.15 (+11.3%)

Sagan Tosu ↓ -1.52 (-19.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.