Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis

23 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Gamba Osaka

Tokushima Vortis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.0% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 19.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% 1.68 DRAW 24.4% 3.84 AWAY 19.7% 4.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gamba Osaka

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gamba Osaka Tokushima Vortis

Shots 14.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Gamba Osaka, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gamba Osaka Tokushima Vortis

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Tokushima Vortis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gamba Osaka Tokushima Vortis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gamba Osaka ↑ +0.15 (+9.8%)

Tokushima Vortis ↓ -0.24 (-4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.