FC Osaka Speranza (W) vs FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

FC Osaka Speranza (W)

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.3% 3.21 DRAW 30.3% 3.00 AWAY 41.3% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Osaka Speranza (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Osaka Speranza (W) FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Osaka Speranza (W) FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Osaka Speranza (W) FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Osaka Speranza (W) ↑ +0.16 (+5.2%)

FC Fujizakura Yamanashi (W) ↓ -0.12 (-5.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.