FC Jazz vs KPV

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

FC Jazz

KPV

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% DRAW 19.0% AWAY 19.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.0% 1.67 DRAW 20.5% 4.82 AWAY 20.5% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Jazz relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.7% win probability, compared with 59.0% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Jazz

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Jazz KPV

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Jazz KPV

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.3

FC Jazz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Jazz KPV

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Jazz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Jazz ↑ +0.37 (+28.5%)

KPV ↓ -2.37 (-33.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.