Mlandege FC vs Polisi SC

04 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Mlandege FC

Polisi SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% DRAW 31.1% AWAY 17.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.85 DRAW 31.1% 2.93 AWAY 19.7% 4.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mlandege FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mlandege FC Polisi SC

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Mlandege FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mlandege FC Polisi SC

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Mlandege FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mlandege FC Polisi SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Mlandege FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mlandege FC = (0.0%)

Polisi SC ↑ +0.28 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.