FK Radnik Surdulica vs Crvena Zvezda

10 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

FK Radnik Surdulica

Crvena Zvezda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.3% DRAW 13.7% AWAY 77.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.6% 12.90 DRAW 13.9% 7.06 AWAY 78.5% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Crvena Zvezda

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Radnik Surdulica Crvena Zvezda

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Crvena Zvezda, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Radnik Surdulica Crvena Zvezda

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Radnik Surdulica Crvena Zvezda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Radnik Surdulica ↓ -2.10 (-14.0%)

Crvena Zvezda ↑ +0.06 (+5.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.