Pisa Barczewo vs DKS Dobre Miasto

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Pisa Barczewo

DKS Dobre Miasto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.01 DRAW 23.1% 4.00 AWAY 30.8% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pisa Barczewo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.0% win probability, compared with 46.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pisa Barczewo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pisa Barczewo DKS Dobre Miasto

Shots 19.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Pisa Barczewo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pisa Barczewo DKS Dobre Miasto

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pisa Barczewo DKS Dobre Miasto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Pisa Barczewo ↑ +0.36 (+21.8%)

DKS Dobre Miasto ↓ -0.75 (-20.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.