Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Hapoel Hadera

Shimshon Tel Aviv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.46 DRAW 27.8% 3.25 AWAY 35.4% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Hadera

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Hadera Shimshon Tel Aviv

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Hadera, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Hadera Shimshon Tel Aviv

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.5

Shimshon Tel Aviv has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Hadera Shimshon Tel Aviv

The combined recent performance profile favours Shimshon Tel Aviv.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hapoel Hadera ↑ +0.31 (+14.4%)

Shimshon Tel Aviv ↓ -0.35 (-12.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.