Guanabara City U20 vs Goiania U20

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Guanabara City U20

Goiania U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.15 DRAW 27.8% 3.25 AWAY 30.1% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Guanabara City U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.0% win probability, compared with 42.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Guanabara City U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guanabara City U20 Goiania U20

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guanabara City U20 Goiania U20

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.8

Guanabara City U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guanabara City U20 Goiania U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Guanabara City U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Guanabara City U20 = (0.0%)

Goiania U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.