Deportivo Recoleta Reserves vs Cerro Porteno Reserves

04 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Cerro Porteno Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 52.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% 3.70 DRAW 23.9% 3.75 AWAY 51.9% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cerro Porteno Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Cerro Porteno Reserves

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Cerro Porteno Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Cerro Porteno Reserves

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Cerro Porteno Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves = (0.0%)

Cerro Porteno Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.