Hapoel Azor vs Tzeirey Tira

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Hapoel Azor

Tzeirey Tira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% 2.23 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 32.4% 2.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Hapoel Azor clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.4% win probability, compared with 40.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tzeirey Tira

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Azor Tzeirey Tira

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Tzeirey Tira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Azor Tzeirey Tira

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 7.3

Hapoel Azor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Azor Tzeirey Tira

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Azor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Azor ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

Tzeirey Tira ↑ +0.06 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.