Paulista FC U20 vs Guaratingueta U20

04 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Paulista FC U20

Guaratingueta U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.0% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 12.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% 1.42 DRAW 21.3% 4.20 AWAY 15.6% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Paulista FC U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.0% win probability, compared with 63.1% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Paulista FC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paulista FC U20 Guaratingueta U20

Shots 14.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Paulista FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paulista FC U20 Guaratingueta U20

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Paulista FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paulista FC U20 Guaratingueta U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Paulista FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Paulista FC U20 = (0.0%)

Guaratingueta U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.