Sundby vs Midtjylland

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Sundby

Midtjylland

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.7% DRAW 8.1% AWAY 89.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.8% 34.00 DRAW 8.6% 11.00 AWAY 88.6% 1.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Midtjylland

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sundby Midtjylland

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Midtjylland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sundby Midtjylland

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sundby Midtjylland

The combined recent performance profile favours Midtjylland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sundby ↑ +7.00 (+25.9%)

Midtjylland ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.