Nykobing vs Middelfart

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Nykobing

Middelfart

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% 1.95 DRAW 23.2% 4.10 AWAY 28.1% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nykobing relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.7% win probability, compared with 48.7% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nykobing

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nykobing Middelfart

Shots 20.0 · On target 11.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Nykobing, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nykobing Middelfart

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Middelfart has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nykobing Middelfart

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nykobing ↑ +0.15 (+8.3%)

Middelfart ↓ -0.13 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.