Unam Pumas vs Leon

11 Sep 2026 · 05:05

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Unam Pumas

Leon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 27.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.16 DRAW 26.4% 3.69 AWAY 28.6% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leon

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unam Pumas Leon

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unam Pumas Leon

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Unam Pumas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unam Pumas Leon

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Unam Pumas ↑ +0.06 (+2.9%)

Leon ↓ -0.06 (-1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.