MS Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

MS Jerusalem

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 16.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% 1.50 DRAW 22.0% 4.29 AWAY 15.2% 6.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MS Jerusalem

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours MS Jerusalem, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Ironi Ashdod.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

MS Jerusalem ↓ -0.03 (-2.2%)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod ↑ +1.43 (+30.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.