Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye vs Ironi Nesher

09 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Ironi Nesher

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 52.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.20 DRAW 25.0% 3.80 AWAY 52.3% 1.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ironi Nesher

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Ironi Nesher

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Nesher, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Ironi Nesher

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Ironi Nesher

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Nesher.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye ↑ +1.96 (+87.5%)

Ironi Nesher ↓ -1.02 (-36.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.