Universidad Catolica vs Union La Calera

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Universidad Catolica

Union La Calera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 18.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% 1.62 DRAW 24.0% 4.00 AWAY 16.7% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Union La Calera

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universidad Catolica Union La Calera

Shots 14.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universidad Catolica Union La Calera

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Union La Calera has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universidad Catolica Union La Calera

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Universidad Catolica ↑ +0.25 (+17.8%)

Union La Calera ↓ -1.91 (-26.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.