Cobreloa vs Coquimbo Unido

23 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Cobreloa

Coquimbo Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.6% 3.23 DRAW 26.5% 3.60 AWAY 43.9% 2.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Coquimbo Unido

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cobreloa Coquimbo Unido

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Coquimbo Unido, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cobreloa Coquimbo Unido

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Cobreloa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cobreloa Coquimbo Unido

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Cobreloa ↑ +0.56 (+21.1%)

Coquimbo Unido ↓ -0.42 (-15.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.