Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano

26 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.2 pp

Colo Colo

Audax Italiano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.6% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 9.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% 1.52 DRAW 22.6% 4.33 AWAY 13.0% 7.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Colo Colo substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.6% win probability, compared with 64.4% implied by the market. The 6.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Colo Colo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colo Colo Audax Italiano

Shots 18.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Colo Colo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colo Colo Audax Italiano

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Colo Colo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colo Colo Audax Italiano

The combined recent performance profile favours Colo Colo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Colo Colo ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

Audax Italiano ↑ +1.94 (+39.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.