Audax Italiano vs Colo Colo

23 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.2 pp

Audax Italiano

Colo Colo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 59.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.6% 4.34 DRAW 25.1% 3.74 AWAY 53.3% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Colo Colo substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.4% win probability, compared with 53.3% implied by the market. The 6.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Colo Colo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Audax Italiano Colo Colo

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 17.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Colo Colo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Audax Italiano Colo Colo

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Colo Colo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Audax Italiano Colo Colo

The combined recent performance profile favours Colo Colo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Audax Italiano ↓ -0.21 (-4.5%)

Colo Colo ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.