NK Zagorec Krapina vs NK Vrapce

04 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

NK Zagorec Krapina

NK Vrapce

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 17.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% 1.57 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 18.8% 4.87

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for NK Zagorec Krapina relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.3% win probability, compared with 58.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NK Zagorec Krapina has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Vrapce

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Zagorec Krapina, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Vrapce

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

NK Zagorec Krapina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Vrapce

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Zagorec Krapina.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

NK Zagorec Krapina ↓ -0.28 (-15.1%)

NK Vrapce ↑ +1.22 (+33.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.