Vanløse vs Hillerød

09 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Vanløse

Hillerød

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 60.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.5% 5.84 DRAW 20.2% 4.75 AWAY 63.3% 1.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vanløse relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.2% win probability, compared with 16.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Vanløse

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vanløse Hillerød

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vanløse Hillerød

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Vanløse has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vanløse Hillerød

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vanløse ↑ +0.09 (+1.6%)

Hillerød ↑ +0.10 (+7.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.