FC Ostrovets vs FC Gomel 2

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.8 pp

FC Ostrovets

FC Gomel 2

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.4% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 20.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.6% 1.62 DRAW 20.5% 4.39 AWAY 23.8% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Ostrovets clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.4% win probability, compared with 55.6% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Ostrovets has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Ostrovets FC Gomel 2

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Ostrovets, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Ostrovets FC Gomel 2

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3

FC Ostrovets has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Ostrovets FC Gomel 2

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Ostrovets.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Ostrovets = (0.0%)

FC Gomel 2 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.