Internacional FC de Palmira (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Internacional FC de Palmira (W)

Internacional de Bogota (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 44.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.30 DRAW 30.2% 3.10 AWAY 41.4% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Internacional de Bogota (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.3% win probability, compared with 41.4% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Internacional de Bogota (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Internacional de Bogota (W)

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Internacional de Bogota (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Internacional de Bogota (W)

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Internacional de Bogota (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Internacional de Bogota (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Internacional de Bogota (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Internacional FC de Palmira (W) ↑ +0.43 (+14.8%)

Internacional de Bogota (W) ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.