Shaanxi Union vs Dingnan Ganlian FC

05 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Shaanxi Union

Dingnan Ganlian FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 12.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% 1.48 DRAW 21.3% 4.47 AWAY 14.5% 6.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Shaanxi Union clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.4% win probability, compared with 64.2% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Shaanxi Union

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shaanxi Union Dingnan Ganlian FC

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shaanxi Union Dingnan Ganlian FC

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Shaanxi Union has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shaanxi Union Dingnan Ganlian FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Shaanxi Union.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shaanxi Union ↑ +0.06 (+4.2%)

Dingnan Ganlian FC ↑ +0.81 (+14.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.