Sagrada Esperanca vs Kabuscorp

23 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Sagrada Esperanca

Kabuscorp

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 56.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 4.61 DRAW 26.6% 3.39 AWAY 53.9% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kabuscorp relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.6% win probability, compared with 53.9% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kabuscorp

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sagrada Esperanca Kabuscorp

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Kabuscorp, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sagrada Esperanca Kabuscorp

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Sagrada Esperanca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sagrada Esperanca Kabuscorp

The combined recent performance profile favours Kabuscorp.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sagrada Esperanca = (0.0%)

Kabuscorp = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.