Christchurch United vs Western Suburbs

06 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Christchurch United

Western Suburbs

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 40.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% 2.50 DRAW 24.1% 3.90 AWAY 38.3% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Western Suburbs

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Christchurch United Western Suburbs

Shots 6.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Western Suburbs, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Christchurch United Western Suburbs

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Christchurch United Western Suburbs

The combined recent performance profile favours Western Suburbs.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Christchurch United = (0.0%)

Western Suburbs ↑ +0.15 (+6.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.