Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar

04 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Brisbane Olympic FC

Brisbane Roar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.3% DRAW 11.1% AWAY 79.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.7% 9.15 DRAW 12.4% 7.16 AWAY 77.9% 1.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Brisbane Roar has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Roar

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Brisbane Roar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Roar

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Brisbane Roar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Roar

The combined recent performance profile favours Brisbane Roar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brisbane Olympic FC = (0.0%)

Brisbane Roar = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.