Boavista RJ vs Nova Iguacu

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

Boavista RJ

Nova Iguacu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.43 DRAW 31.4% 3.00 AWAY 29.9% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boavista RJ Nova Iguacu

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boavista RJ Nova Iguacu

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boavista RJ Nova Iguacu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Boavista RJ = (0.0%)

Nova Iguacu = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.