Dijon II vs Racing Besancon

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Dijon II

Racing Besancon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 34.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.25 DRAW 26.2% 3.60 AWAY 31.9% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Racing Besancon relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.9% win probability, compared with 31.9% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Racing Besancon has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dijon II Racing Besancon

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Racing Besancon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dijon II Racing Besancon

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Racing Besancon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dijon II Racing Besancon

The combined recent performance profile favours Racing Besancon.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Dijon II ↑ +0.45 (+25.0%)

Racing Besancon ↓ -0.44 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.