Liberte FC vs Sahel Niamey

04 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Liberte FC

Sahel Niamey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 32.4% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 2.85 DRAW 31.8% 2.85 AWAY 36.3% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Liberte FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.5% win probability, compared with 31.8% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Liberte FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liberte FC Sahel Niamey

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liberte FC Sahel Niamey

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Liberte FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liberte FC Sahel Niamey

The combined recent performance profile favours Liberte FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liberte FC ↑ +0.05 (+1.8%)

Sahel Niamey = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.