Toronto FC II vs Columbus Crew II

08 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Toronto FC II

Columbus Crew II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% 2.13 DRAW 24.0% 3.86 AWAY 32.4% 2.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Columbus Crew II

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toronto FC II Columbus Crew II

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toronto FC II Columbus Crew II

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toronto FC II Columbus Crew II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Toronto FC II ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

Columbus Crew II ↓ -0.05 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.