CA Independiente Siguatepeque vs Juticalpa

14 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Juticalpa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 18.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.4% 1.68 DRAW 24.8% 3.75 AWAY 19.8% 4.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Independiente Siguatepeque Juticalpa

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours CA Independiente Siguatepeque, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Independiente Siguatepeque Juticalpa

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Independiente Siguatepeque Juticalpa

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Independiente Siguatepeque.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Independiente Siguatepeque ↑ +0.05 (+2.8%)

Juticalpa ↓ -0.07 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.