CD Marathon vs CD Olimpia

14 Sep 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

CD Marathon

CD Olimpia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% 2.22 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 29.9% 3.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Olimpia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Marathon CD Olimpia

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours CD Olimpia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Marathon CD Olimpia

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

CD Marathon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Marathon CD Olimpia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Marathon ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

CD Olimpia ↓ -0.04 (-1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.