Orsomarso vs Tigres FC

11 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Orsomarso

Tigres FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% DRAW 30.6% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.05 DRAW 30.4% 3.10 AWAY 23.6% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orsomarso Tigres FC

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orsomarso Tigres FC

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orsomarso Tigres FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Orsomarso ↑ +0.62 (+37.6%)

Tigres FC ↓ -0.92 (-17.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.