FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

FK Transinvest (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.6% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 11.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% 1.33 DRAW 17.1% 5.59 AWAY 11.0% 8.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) FK Transinvest (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) FK Transinvest (W)

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) FK Transinvest (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) ↑ +0.23 (+21.2%)

FK Transinvest (W) ↓ -6.25 (-41.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.